My bookmaker buried me last weekend. I mean I was eaten alive. On the week I went a depressing 12-36 (25%) Betting at a 25% win rate will take everything away from you: your family, friends, and most importantly all the money you have ever made. That being said the good news is that statistically, I am due. For me to have enough capital to bet through March, I am going to be taking one game a day from here on out.
Today, we’re firing the side and total of the Northern Colorado game.
Northern Colorado Bears (+6) vs. Montana Grizzlies (Total 141.5)
The two top teams in the Big Sky Conference face off in Montana today. Montana has been on a ten game winning streak that started at the beginning of January when they blew out Northern Colorado in Greely, CO.
These are my favorite games to bet. Two evenly matched teams that are only separated by a couple games and one was blown out the last time they played. Always, always, always go with the underdog that was previously blown out. This is a revenge game for the Bears and there only chance to win the conference is if they win this game. Six points in a rivalry game is a lot, and most big betting sharps are appropriately following suit. The Bears are only getting 39% of tickets placed them, but control 63% of the money. I love that break down and love Northern Colorado even more. In a must-win game for both sides, I also like the under. Both teams will be playing their hearts out on defense, and this game will go way under.
Pick: Northern Colorado +6, Under 141.5
volkszn.com 